31st Oct 2024. 9.02am

Regency View:

Update

Regency View:

Update

Bioventix shares fall on royalty revenue adjustment and growth concerns

Bioventix (BVXP) shares dropped this week after the company disclosed a miscalculation in royalty revenue, impacting earnings for the current fiscal year.

Due to an overpayment by a key customer, Bioventix recognised a cumulative revenue reduction of £327,000 in the latest financial statements. This correction, while financially immaterial to previous periods, highlights the dependency on specific revenue streams, such as royalties, that can occasionally present unexpected variances.

The drop in share price underscores investor caution surrounding any negative adjustments to revenue, especially given that Bioventix operates with a relatively niche focus within the diagnostic antibody market.

Adding to these concerns, Bioventix faces revenue challenges from certain key antibody lines—such as troponin royalties from Siemens Healthineers, which underperformed this year. Although Siemens’ FDA approval for new troponin testing applications offers some hope for revenue growth, the limited performance of the current product indicates a potential ceiling for this revenue source.

With the royalty contract for troponin expiring in 2032, we are increasingly focused on how Bioventix will offset potential revenue reductions and continue diversifying its antibody portfolio to sustain growth.

BVXP Daily Candle Chart

BVXP Daily Candle Chart

Eckoh accepts acquisition offer from Bridgepoint

Eckoh (ECK) has accepted a bid from Eagle UK Bidco Limited (Bidco), an indirect, wholly-owned subsidiary of certain funds managed by Bridgepoint Advisers II Limited (Bridgepoint).

This acquisition, structured as a recommended cash offer, values Eckoh’s entire issued share capital at approximately £169.3 million. Shareholders are set to receive 54 pence per share, reflecting a significant premium over recent trading prices and valuing Eckoh at roughly 15.9 times its adjusted EBITDA as of March 2024.

Bridgepoint’s decision to acquire Eckoh aligns with its strategy to invest in technology-driven companies that offer secure, innovative solutions, particularly in the realm of customer engagement and payment security software.

The acquisition, which will be effected through a scheme of arrangement, has received endorsements from key stakeholders within Eckoh, including support from the Board and major shareholders through irrevocable undertakings. The transaction’s success now depends on shareholder approval, court sanction, and regulatory conditions, with an expected completion in Q1 2025.

ECK Daily Candle Chart

ECK Daily Candle Chart

Equals surge as consortium improves takeover offer and extends deadline

Equals (EQLS) share price surged yesterday following the company’s announcement of an improved bid proposal from a consortium that includes Railsr, TowerBrook Capital Partners, and J.C. Flowers & Co.

This updated proposal offers Equals shareholders an all-cash deal at 135 pence per share. Additionally, the offer includes a special dividend of 2 pence per share, a move that highlights the consortium’s strong commitment to acquiring the company.

To allow more time for these negotiations, the Board has requested an extension to the PUSU deadline. The new deadline is now set for November 20, 2024.

The jump in Equals’ stock price reflects growing investor optimism that a finalized deal could soon be announced.

EQLS Daily Candle Chart

EQLS Daily Candle Chart

Good Energy expands solar reach with £8m acquisition of Empower Energy

Good Energy (GOOD) made headlines this week with its announcement of a strategic acquisition of Empower Energy, a prominent commercial solar installation company.

This acquisition, valued at up to £8 million, marks Good Energy’s fifth acquisition in the past two years, and the fourth directly related to expanding its solar installation services. The move is part of Good Energy’s ambitious plan to strengthen its footprint in the solar market, catering to businesses looking for sustainable energy solutions amidst continued high energy costs.

Empower Energy’s nationwide installation capabilities align well with Good Energy’s mission of promoting renewable energy. The acquisition will not only expand Good Energy’s commercial solar installation services across the UK but also boost its earnings, with anticipated substantial contributions from FY25 onwards. This acquisition follows closely on the heels of the Amelio Enterprises acquisition, another solar-focused firm, reinforcing Good Energy’s commitment to scaling up its service offerings and becoming a leading player in commercial solar installations.

The CEO of Good Energy, Nigel Pocklington, highlighted that this acquisition will accelerate the company’s ability to offer commercial solar installation services nationwide, making solar energy more accessible to businesses. Empower Energy brings 15 years of experience to the table and a proven track record, which, combined with Good Energy’s resources and expertise, will enhance its capacity to deliver a seamless experience to commercial clients looking to reduce both costs and carbon footprint through solar installations.

GOOD Daily Candle Chart

GOOD Daily Candle Chart

Midwich shares drop as AV market challenges persist in Europe

Shares in AV supplier Midwich (MIDW) saw a sharp drop last week following the company’s revised trading update, which adjusted expectations for the remainder of 2024.

Despite some stabilisation in the UK market and continued strength in North America, Midwich highlighted continued challenges in the European market, particularly in Germany, where demand for AV equipment in the corporate and education sectors remains subdued. The company had previously anticipated an improvement in these areas but now expects market conditions to remain challenging through the end of the year.

Additionally, Midwich noted that while it has implemented an overhead reduction program to support profitability, full-year adjusted operating profit is likely to fall significantly below 2023 levels due to the operational gearing of the business.

Though revenue is expected to be marginally higher than last year, this profitability outlook spurred the market response, leading to a decline in Midwich’s share price as investors reacted to the lowered profit guidance.

MIDW Daily Candle Chart

MIDW Daily Candle Chart

RWS faces disappointment as currency headwinds impact trading results

It’s been a disappointing week for language company RWS Holdings (RWS) as the firm announced mixed trading results that fell short of market expectations. The recent update indicated ongoing headwinds, primarily due to unfavourable currency movements impacting their revenue.

Despite showing a return to growth in the second half of the fiscal year, with organic constant currency revenue up 2%, the overall reported revenue for FY24 is expected to decline by 2% to around £718 million. This decline underscores the challenges the company faces in navigating a volatile market environment, where exchange rate fluctuations have hindered its financial performance.

RWS’s CEO, Ian El-Mokadem, expressed optimism about the second half, highlighting improvements in the Language Services and IP Services sectors. However, the ongoing price pressures and currency headwinds are significant concerns for the company’s future profitability. The adjusted profit before tax (PBT) is expected to align with market expectations, but investors remain cautious about how these external factors might affect future growth.

Furthermore, while the company has been investing in AI-led solutions, such as TrainAI and Language Weaver, the traction from these products has yet to translate into the strong financial results that stakeholders were hoping for. As the market transitions, RWS must demonstrate that its strategic investments can yield substantial returns, especially against the backdrop of a challenging economic landscape.

RWS Daily Candle Chart

RWS Daily Candle Chart

Serica Energy shares recover after UK Budget eases investor concerns

Serica Energy (SQZ) saw its share price decline on Tuesday after announcing production interruptions at the Triton FPSO due to a problem with the gas compressor.

This news raised concerns among investors about the company’s ability to meet its full-year production guidance, leading to a dip in confidence and a drop in share value.

However, the market sentiment shifted on Wednesday following the UK budget announcement, which turned out to be less severe than many had anticipated.

The government plans to increase the windfall tax on North Sea oil and gas producers to 38% from 35%, extending the levy by one year. While this means a higher tax burden for companies in the sector, the overall reaction from investors was more positive than expected.

As a result, Serica’s shares have since clawed back some of the losses experienced earlier in the week.

SQZ Daily Candle Chart

SQZ Daily Candle Chart

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