30th Jul 2025. 8.57am

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Regency View:

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Airtel Africa hits new trend highs after strong Q1 performance

Airtel Africa (AAF) reached new trend highs last week following impressive results for the quarter ending 30 June 2025. The company saw a 9.0% increase in its total customer base, growing to 169.4 million, with a notable 17.4% jump in data customers to 75.6 million. This surge was driven by increased smartphone penetration, which rose 4.3%, alongside a focus on bridging the digital divide across its markets. As a result, Airtel witnessed a robust 18.5% growth in data ARPU in constant currency, alongside a 47.4% increase in data usage across its network.

The mobile money segment also contributed significantly to Airtel’s growth, with customers rising 16.1% to 45.8 million. The expansion of its mobile money services led to a 35% increase in annualised transaction volume to $162 billion, demonstrating the company’s strong push for financial inclusion. The combination of increased mobile money revenue and strong data growth helped drive a 24.9% increase in revenues in constant currency, alongside a 29.8% rise in EBITDA, highlighting Airtel’s operational efficiency and solid execution of its strategy.

Airtel’s sustained network investments further supported this momentum, with over 2,300 new sites added and a 2,700 km expansion of its fibre network. These efforts contributed to increased 4G population coverage, now at 74.7%. With strong financials, continued growth in customer segments, and a focus on technological innovation, Airtel Africa is well-positioned to sustain its upward trajectory, reinforcing its market leadership in the African telecom space.

AAF Daily Candle Chart

AAF Daily Candle Chart

Centrica reports strong interim results and dividend commitment

Centrica’s (CNA) shares gapped higher last week following the release of its interim results for the six months ending 30 June 2025, showcasing solid financial performance. The company reported a strong return to profitability and continued progress in its strategic transformation, driven by improved operational efficiency and growth in its energy services business. This positive momentum was initially reflected in a sharp price increase, but the shares have since closed the gap and reversed some of the gains, as market sentiment adjusted.

The company announced a proposed interim dividend of 1.83p per share, highlighting its ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders. The dividend will be paid in October 2025, reinforcing Centrica’s stable cash flow and financial discipline. While revenue growth and profitability have shown resilience, the market has tempered its enthusiasm, potentially reflecting broader sector concerns or profit-taking after the initial rally.

Looking ahead, Centrica remains focused on enhancing its customer offerings and investing in its energy services business. The company’s ability to navigate market fluctuations and maintain strong cash generation gives it a solid foundation, although the recent share price reversal suggests caution among investors amid the volatility of the broader energy sector.

CNA Daily Candle Chart

CNA Daily Candle Chart

ITV delivers solid performance despite revenue dip

ITV’s (ITV) share price hit 52-week highs last week following the release of its half-year results for the six months ending 30 June 2025, showcasing a robust performance in key areas despite some challenges. The company successfully executed Phase Two of its “More Than TV” strategy, with growth in ITV Studios and digital advertising revenue from ITVX, which rose by 12%. However, total group revenue declined by 3% year-on-year, primarily due to a tough comparative period in H1 2024 driven by the Men’s Euros. Despite the decline in total revenue, ITV Studios experienced a solid 3% increase in external revenue, driven by strong global demand for content.

The company also delivered £23 million in non-content cost savings, which helped offset inflationary pressures. As a result, ITV has maintained strong cash conversion and announced an interim dividend of 1.7p, in line with its dividend policy. Adjusted EBITA, however, fell by 31%, reflecting the tough market conditions and the phasing of high-margin sales in ITV Studios, with a stronger second half expected. ITV remains confident about its outlook, with a continued focus on strategic cost management and the growth potential of ITVX and ITV Studios in the second half of 2025.

Looking ahead, ITV is poised for a strong second half, with a promising content slate that includes high-profile dramas, entertainment shows, and sports programming. The company is on track to meet its long-term growth targets, underpinned by a solid content strategy and digital revenue expansion, even as it adapts to a changing media landscape.

ITV Daily Candle Chart

ITV Daily Candle Chart

Mitie posts strong revenue growth

Mitie (MTO) recently released a positive trading update for Q1 FY26, showcasing a solid 10.1% increase in revenue to £1,282 million, driven by organic growth of 8.0%. The Facilities Management business performed particularly well, with key account wins and extensions contributing to a 7.3% growth. Facilities Transformation saw an even stronger performance, growing by 12.8%, reflecting increased demand for client projects. Notably, Mitie also reported a strong £1.2 billion in contract wins, extensions, and renewals, further bolstering its growth trajectory.

The company is on track to complete its acquisition of Marlowe plc in early August 2025, creating a market leader in Facilities Compliance. This strategic acquisition is expected to provide significant scale in the fast-growing £7.6 billion Testing, Inspection, and Certification market. With strong support from Marlowe’s shareholders, the acquisition will enable Mitie to deliver at least £30 million in cost synergies and expand its service offering. Additionally, Mitie’s £29 billion pipeline of bidding opportunities, up 22% year-on-year, signals continued growth potential.

Mitie also made progress in its capital deployment strategy, temporarily pausing its £125 million share buyback programme due to the Marlowe acquisition. The company is committed to returning surplus funds to shareholders once leverage reduces, and continues to pursue infill M&A opportunities that align with its strategic goals. Despite an increase in net debt to £240 million, Mitie’s strong balance sheet and solid free cash flow generation position it well for future growth and shareholder value creation.

MTO Daily Candle Chart

MTO Daily Candle Chart

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